StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3409187 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Well-Worn
any lot
9 330.02 ₽
at 9 330.02
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 26 202.26 ₽+16 872.24 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈16≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Well-Worn
any lot
9 330.02 ₽
at 9 330.02
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 26 202.26 ₽+16 872.24 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈7≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Well-Worn
any lot
9 330.02 ₽
at 9 330.02
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 26 202.26 ₽+16 872.24 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈7≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Well-Worn
any lot
18 660.04 ₽
at 9 330.02
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 26 202.26 ₽+16 872.24 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
BS costs more than WW: 6 947.15 ₽ versus 6 852.20 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 6 947.15 ₽no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 17 098.08 ₽ versus 15 498.47 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 17 098.08 ₽sell now to a buy order: 17 092.97 ₽
(you get 14 863.45 ₽)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than WW: 10 865.29 ₽ versus 9 377.60 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 10 865.29 ₽no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 3 924.15 ₽ versus 3 651.16 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 3 924.15 ₽sell now to a buy order: 3 876.74 ₽
(you get 3 371.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 7 648.35 ₽ versus 5 302.81 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 648.35 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 544.41 ₽
(you get 6 560.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 6 380.01 ₽The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 337.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 224.50 ₽
(you get 6 282.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 187
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 161 559.93 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 164 857.08 ₽listings 54 · you get 161 559.93 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 97 818.53 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 99 814.83 ₽listings 27 · you get 97 818.53 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 14 001.90 ₽sells 4 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the current 16 102.18 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 17 353.40 ₽
(you get 15 089.91 ₽)) · buy orders: 247
BS costs more than WW: 8 330.37 ₽ versus 6 489.30 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 330.37 ₽no buy orders
month average 11 712.98 ₽, sold 13 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 10 853.42 ₽
(you get 9 437.75 ₽)) · buy orders: 209
WW costs more than FT: 5 848.79 ₽ versus 5 512.25 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 848.79 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 847.55 ₽
(you get 5 084.82 ₽)) · buy orders: 57
month average 5 038.28 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 530.97 ₽
(you get 3 939.97 ₽)) · buy orders: 212
BS costs more than FT: 5 681.71 ₽ versus 5 423.32 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 681.71 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 606.94 ₽
(you get 4 875.60 ₽)) · buy orders: 105
month average 14 549.93 ₽, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 13 045.01 ₽
(you get 11 343.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 344
BS costs more than WW: 5 858.39 ₽ versus 5 751.10 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWnow 5 858.39 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 5 874.03 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 968.03 ₽
(you get 4 320.02 ₽)) · buy orders: 158
BS costs more than WW: 8 675.49 ₽ versus 7 575.31 ₽ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 675.49 ₽no buy orders
WW costs more than FT: 7 897.08 ₽ versus 6 758.16 ₽ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 897.08 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 896.76 ₽
(you get 6 866.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 70
month average 6 002.05 ₽, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 918.46 ₽
(you get 4 276.92 ₽)) · buy orders: 131
month average 6 252.17 ₽, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 6 078.24 ₽
(you get 5 285.42 ₽)) · buy orders: 96
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.019 330.02 → 9 448.51 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.027 664.60 → 7 834.75 ₽
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 2100% of the wear range fits×1.039 601.70 → 9 889.75 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−17 825.86 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−16 894.38 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3409176
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −16 525.70₽
· invest 26 596.32₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405558
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −17 008.62₽
· invest 27 385.20₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)
Craft 3405569
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −17 008.62₽
· invest 27 385.20₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)
Craft 3405179
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −17 980.43₽
· invest 28 357.01₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.