StatTrak™
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3409188 · ways to build: 4StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈6≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
any lot
55 771.17 ₸
at 55 771.17
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 147 359.55 ₸+91 588.38 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈7≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
any lot
111 542.35 ₸
at 55 771.17
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 147 359.55 ₸+91 588.38 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈7≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
any lot
167 313.52 ₸
at 55 771.17
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 147 359.55 ₸+91 588.38 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
100% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈7≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir
Battle-Scarred
any lot
223 084.69 ₸
at 55 771.17
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) — 147 359.55 ₸+91 588.38 ₸ per item · on the market 10 · buy0.0700–0.1500
BS costs more than WW: 39 070.25 ₸ versus 38 536.26 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 39 070.25 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 96 158.32 ₸ versus 87 162.24 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 96 158.32 ₸sell now to a buy order: 96 129.59 ₸
(you get 83 590.93 ₸)) · buy orders: 109
BS costs more than WW: 61 105.58 ₸ versus 52 738.92 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 61 105.58 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 22 069.13 ₸ versus 20 533.85 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 22 069.13 ₸sell now to a buy order: 21 802.50 ₸
(you get 18 958.65 ₸)) · buy orders: 54
BS costs more than WW: 43 013.75 ₸ versus 29 822.61 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 43 013.75 ₸sell now to a buy order: 42 429.20 ₸
(you get 36 894.92 ₸)) · buy orders: 70
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knifenet 35 880.70 ₸The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 41 262.80 ₸sell now to a buy order: 40 630.05 ₸
(you get 35 330.45 ₸)) · buy orders: 187
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 908 600.98 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 927 143.90 ₸listings 5 · you get 908 600.98 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 1 036 290.46 ₸ versus 927 143.90 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 905 263.97 ₸
(you get 787 186.05 ₸)) · buy orders: 114
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 533 283.54 ₸no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 561 351.15 ₸listings 3 · you get 533 283.54 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 853 934.29 ₸ versus 561 351.15 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 555 380.40 ₸no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 584 610.97 ₸listings 5 · you get 555 380.40 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 584 888.23 ₸ versus 584 610.97 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred)net 280 106.35 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 285 822.84 ₸listings 3 · you get 280 106.35 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 236 279.66 ₸
(you get 205 460.55 ₸)) · buy orders: 31
MW costs more than FN: 114 441.14 ₸ versus 90 557.46 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 114 441.14 ₸no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 84 667.18 ₸ versus 81 575.66 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 84 667.18 ₸sell now to a buy order: 83 064.31 ₸
(you get 72 229.82 ₸)) · buy orders: 79
BS costs more than WW: 46 849.38 ₸ versus 36 495.34 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 46 849.38 ₸no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 51 506.61 ₸ versus 48 244.06 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 51 506.61 ₸no buy orders
BS costs more than FT: 39 922.61 ₸ versus 31 000.48 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 39 922.61 ₸sell now to a buy order: 39 905.35 ₸
(you get 34 700.29 ₸)) · buy orders: 86
month average 28 334.91 ₸, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 25 481.84 ₸
(you get 22 158.10 ₸)) · buy orders: 212
BS costs more than FT: 31 953.51 ₸ versus 30 500.35 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 31 953.51 ₸sell now to a buy order: 31 533.01 ₸
(you get 27 420.01 ₸)) · buy orders: 105
MW costs more than FN: 183 335.97 ₸ versus 140 445.44 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 183 335.97 ₸no buy orders
MW costs more than FN: 292 954.04 ₸ versus 101 230.66 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 292 954.04 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 101 836.13 ₸
(you get 88 553.15 ₸)) · buy orders: 143
Steam★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)net 77 736.31 ₸no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 81 827.72 ₸listings 4 · you get 77 736.31 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 102 029.70 ₸ versus 81 827.72 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNno buy orders
BS costs more than WW: 38 746.76 ₸ versus 32 107.55 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 38 746.76 ₸sell now to a buy order: 38 232.91 ₸
(you get 33 246.00 ₸)) · buy orders: 32
BS costs more than WW: 32 947.15 ₸ versus 32 343.76 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWnow 32 947.15 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 33 035.11 ₸sell now to a buy order: 27 939.83 ₸
(you get 24 295.47 ₸)) · buy orders: 158
BS costs more than WW: 48 790.31 ₸ versus 42 602.98 ₸ — calculated at the price of WWrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 48 790.31 ₸no buy orders
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)net 165 780.78 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 169 164.07 ₸listings 6 · you get 165 780.78 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 217 297.23 ₸ versus 169 164.07 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 162 925.62 ₸
(you get 141 674.44 ₸)) · buy orders: 180
Steam★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)net 100 008.80 ₸no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 105 272.46 ₸listings 3 · you get 100 008.80 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternMW costs more than FN: 231 244.05 ₸ versus 105 272.46 ₸ — calculated at the price of FNsell now to a buy order: 108 196.45 ₸
(you get 94 083.83 ₸)) · buy orders: 322
BS costs more than FT: 61 853.11 ₸ versus 38 007.39 ₸ — calculated at the price of FTrarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 61 853.11 ₸sell now to a buy order: 61 834.50 ₸
(you get 53 769.11 ₸)) · buy orders: 51
month average 33 755.08 ₸, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 27 661.05 ₸
(you get 24 053.08 ₸)) · buy orders: 131
month average 35 161.74 ₸, sold 10 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 34 183.57 ₸
(you get 29 724.81 ₸)) · buy orders: 96
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.1055 771.17 → 61 387.33 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested) × 1100% of the wear range fits×1.0221 552.57 → 21 992.24 ₸
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) × 3100% of the wear range fits×1.0480 998.87 → 84 627.61 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−105 654.21 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−101 970.26 ₸historical median
1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
17 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3409088
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −99 338.08₸
· invest 155 663.39₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3409099
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −99 338.08₸
· invest 155 663.39₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3407416
· The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −99 948.04₸
· invest 157 744.07₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3407434
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −99 948.04₸
· invest 157 744.07₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3407417
· The Wildfire Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −100 046.57₸
· invest 157 744.07₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3407435
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −100 046.57₸
· invest 157 744.07₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Roll Cage (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3409177
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −100 156.33₸
· invest 158 322.61₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3409178
· The Wildfire Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −101 997.30₸
· invest 158 322.61₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.366583 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.628916 instead of 0.640000; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.685416 instead of 0.700000
Craft 3409189
· The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −101 997.30₸
· invest 158 322.61₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.685416 instead of 0.700000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.366583 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.628916 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3409336
· The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −105 622.28₸
· invest 158 339.76₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3405181
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −107 898.21₸
· invest 164 924.76₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3405192
· The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −107 898.21₸
· invest 164 924.76₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.368020 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.630104 instead of 0.640000
Craft 3405927
· The Wildfire Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −109 212.86₸
· invest 168 461.25₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 3405938
· The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −109 212.86₸
· invest 168 461.25₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.