Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10About the craftCraft 3409595 · ways to build: 1A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на цепочку не хватает: нужно 500 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (estimate)
×500
FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1629
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1 603.37 $
at 3.21
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details10 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.162999f′ (normalized) 0.069999wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 157 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · little data, days: 2
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves
Craft on only from Nova | Antique (Factory New), P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 13.01 $.
Craft on only from AUG | Chameleon (Factory New), AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 111.55 $.
Set · 500 pcs1 603.37 $
+682.51
(+42.6%)
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
65 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Restricted → Classified
50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
sell
AK-47 | Redline
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.141999
147.13 $33%
SteamAK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear)+114.93each above the replacement
craft on
Nova | Antique
Factory New
float up to 0.020999
12.32 $33%
SteamNova | Antique (Factory New)fetches 10.71, no more than the replacement
craft on
P90 | Trigon
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.126899
11.24 $33%
SteamP90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)fetches 9.78, no more than the replacement
2
Classified → Covert
5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
float up to 0.034999
111.18 $50%
SteamAUG | Chameleon (Factory New)fetches 96.68, no more than the replacement
craft on
AWP | Asiimov
Field-Tested
float up to 0.237399
125.21 $50%
SteamAWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)fetches 108.88, no more than the replacement
3
Covert → a knife or gloves
1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
Steam★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)net 314.30 $sells 8 a weeknow 361.45 $ — cheaper than the month average 452.45 $sell now to a buy order: 356.31 $
(you get 309.84 $)) · buy orders: 1810
Steam★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 131.18 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 150.85 $sell now to a buy order: 148.89 $
(you get 129.47 $)) · buy orders: 145
Steam★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear)net 164.78 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 189.50 $sell now to a buy order: 203.03 $
(you get 176.55 $)) · buy orders: 217
Steam★ Bayonet | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)net 123.85 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the current 142.43 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 165.99 $
(you get 144.34 $)) · buy orders: 157
month average 402.11 $, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 309.42 $
(you get 269.06 $)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 104.46 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the current 120.13 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 120.07 $
(you get 104.41 $)) · buy orders: 129
MW costs more than FN: 142.85 $ versus 136.86 $ — calculated at the price of FNrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 142.85 $sell now to a buy order: 140.97 $
(you get 122.58 $)) · buy orders: 121
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 118.84 $sells 12 a weeknow 136.66 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.78 $sell now to a buy order: 127.62 $
(you get 110.98 $)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 104.37 $sells 7 a weeknow 120.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 147.03 $sell now to a buy order: 125.72 $
(you get 109.32 $)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)net 44.78 $sells 5 a weeknow 51.50 $ — cheaper than the month average 57.47 $sell now to a buy order: 57.46 $
(you get 49.97 $)) · buy orders: 182
Steam★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 96.81 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 111.34 $sell now to a buy order: 109.87 $
(you get 95.54 $)) · buy orders: 166
Steam★ Gut Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 48.22 $sells 8 a weeknow 55.45 $ — cheaper than the month average 68.07 $sell now to a buy order: 53.46 $
(you get 46.48 $)) · buy orders: 221
Steam★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)net 44.16 $sells 5 a weeknow 50.79 $ — cheaper than the month average 54.63 $sell now to a buy order: 47.58 $
(you get 41.37 $)) · buy orders: 306
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 1 433.82 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 463.08 $listings 187 · you get 1 433.82 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 1 005.58 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 1 156.41 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 696.65 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 710.87 $listings 6 · you get 696.65 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 681.12 $
(you get 592.28 $)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 422.96 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 452.00 $listings 19 · you get 1 422.96 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 903.70 $
(you get 1 655.39 $)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)net 869.52 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 887.27 $listings 51 · you get 869.52 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 142.51 $
(you get 993.49 $)) · buy orders: 731
Steam★ Karambit | Scorched (Minimal Wear)net 438.73 $sells 2 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 504.54 $sell now to a buy order: 498.42 $
(you get 433.41 $)) · buy orders: 324
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 819.35 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 942.25 $sell now to a buy order: 929.85 $
(you get 808.57 $)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 448.95 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 458.11 $listings 6 · you get 448.95 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 457.62 $
(you get 397.93 $)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)net 305.06 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the current 350.82 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 158.46 $sells 7 a weeknow 182.22 $ — cheaper than the month average 220.85 $sell now to a buy order: 185.02 $
(you get 160.89 $)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 63.36 $sells 21 a weekmonth average 72.86 $, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 60.73 $
(you get 52.81 $)) · buy orders: 1821
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 735.76 $sell now to a buy order: 727.58 $
(you get 632.68 $)) · buy orders: 1384
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 5006% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.901 603.37 → 4 649.79 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+637.79 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+672.48 $historical median
3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.