Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 354.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 189.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 795,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 498.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Five-SeveN | Desert Seal (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Traitor (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Sedimentary (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | O-Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Five-SeveN | Desert Seal (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1696 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1696 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1615 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0759 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1672 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2134 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1647 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1647 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1694 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Half Sleeve (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1694 (under 1% of this wear's listings)