CS2 trade-up contracts: ten items turn into one item of the next rarity. Here they are calculated at real Steam prices — with fees, over all possible outcomes and with a float threshold for every input.
Craft (trade-up contract) — ten items of one rarity turn into one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Calculated in total: 50 458 · the search went through 43 710 pairs in 2205 s.
No profitable craft that can be assembled under these conditions: not enough market lots, or the profit rests on resale and no-deal prices. The full list is below.
profit only from resalesells slowly33% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (≈0% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (≈0% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
In profit even in a bad week (one in ten) while the outcome can’t be sold yet.
AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (≈0% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
In profit even in a bad week (one in ten) while the outcome can’t be sold yet.
Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (≈1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (1% of this wear's listings)
In profit even in a bad week (one in ten) while the outcome can’t be sold yet.
profit only from resalesells slowly33% of probability — outcomes selling fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.