Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 47 752.
Profitable35 813craftsof 39 148 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 148.Shown in the list below: 691.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 19 498,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 422.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (≈1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
XM1014 | Black Tie (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0781 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0781 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0071 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1636 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1666 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1666 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)
Best outcome
float up to 0.149999
Return after fees
992 ₽
Float
0.1500–0.1625 +2
Lots that fit
5%
Sales per week
93
Ways to assemble
5
StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4799; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (0% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (3% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)