Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 49 308.
Profitable37 069craftsof 40 591 in the recalculation
Best profit—nothing profitable to assemble
Median ROI+19%half of the profitable crafts are above
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 40 591.Shown in the list below: 29.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 913.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
No profitable craft that can be assembled under these conditions: not enough market lots, or the profit rests on resale and no-deal prices. The full list is below.
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.3286 (≈58% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.6830
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
no outcome pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
no outcome pricesells slowly26% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
outcome without salesno outcome priceOutcome above the Steam cap: no price, the gain is understatedrare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
no outcome pricemarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1641 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0749 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3842
P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0764 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (≈1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Flame Jörmungandr (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3856
no outcome pricesells slowly30% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
outcome without salesmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
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Steam
P250 | Digital Architect (Well-Worn)
