Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 49 308.
Profitable37 069craftsof 40 591 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 40 591.Shown in the list below: 328.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 913,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 648.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
profit only from resalesells slowly100% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (15% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0091 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0804 (≈1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0091 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
profit only from resalesells slowly100% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Airlock (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (5% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1650 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0075 (1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0075 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (1% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Triarch (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (1% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Triarch (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1721 (7% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1721 (5% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
SCAR-20 | Powercore (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0763 (0% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0055 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (0% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (3% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
profit only from resalesells slowly100% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly55% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
profit only from resalesells slowly100% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.