Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 41 767.
Profitable40craftsof 33 605 in the recalculation
Best profit—nothing profitable to assemble
Median ROI+2%half of the profitable crafts are above
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 33 605.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 171.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 13 166,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 497.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
No profitable craft that can be assembled under these conditions: not enough market lots, or the profit rests on resale and no-deal prices. The full list is below.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1636 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1636 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1636 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1636 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1674 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0760 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1674 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4777; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Windblown (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1631 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings)