Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 446.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 681.Hidden:“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 633.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0954 (≈7% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0222 (≈3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Morning Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0954 (≈7% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0954 (≈7% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0222 (≈3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0217 (≈3% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0948 (≈7% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0217 (≈3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0218 (≈3% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0949 (≈7% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0218 (≈3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0941 (≈6% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0211 (≈3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0953 (≈7% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0953 (≈7% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0222 (≈3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0941 (≈6% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0211 (≈3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2543 (1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1736 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0030 (3% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2542 (1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1736 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0029 (3% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2550 (1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1730 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (4% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (8% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0017 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1698 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
invest at least 68 $with floatassemble:not enough lots
float premium: at least 38 $
sells slowlyцена ненадёжнаПервые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 13 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Nova | Koi (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0030 (2% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1663 (0% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1736 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0076 (≈2% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0044 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1562 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0019 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Souvenir AUG | Spalted Wood (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1823 (≈1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0794 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0019 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Souvenir P2000 | Grassland (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0875 (≈4% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0046 (≈1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0809 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0046 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0780 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1569 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1612 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0780 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1612 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2091 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0816 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0031 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0782 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0780 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1662 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0789 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0801 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0020 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1671 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1557 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1557 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1615 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1615 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3835
MP5-SD | Nitro (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1753 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1614 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0034 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
sells slowlyцена ненадёжнаПервые пять годных лотов отличаются в разы: дешёвый может оказаться единственным.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 13 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.