Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 635.
Profitable36 412craftsof 39 940 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 940.Shown in the list below: 11 008.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 190.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1646 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1646 (3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0046 (≈1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2566 (6% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
11 486 ₴
Float
0.0000–0.0045 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
18
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
28 493 ₴
Float
0.0000–0.0048 +1
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
29
Ways to assemble
5
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1659 (0% of this wear's listings); AWP | Duality (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0048 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (3% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3837 (7% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ Nova | Graphite (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (≈1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2565 (4% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
profit only from resalesells slowly100% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1026 (4% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1637 (1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1644 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0750 (0% of this wear's listings); Nova | Antique (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0044 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (0% of this wear's listings); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AWP | PAW (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4788 (40% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Koi (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (2% of this wear's listings); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AWP | PAW (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1658 (1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Muertos (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0048 (4% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0750 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1645 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AWP | PAW (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0044 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1657 (2% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (2% of this wear's listings); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AWP | PAW (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
G3SG1 | Demeter (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0778 (0% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0068 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
profit only from resalesells slowly100% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.