Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 41 158.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 041.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 530,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 550.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1626 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3838; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1626 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1764 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0791 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Withered Vine (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1755 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0780 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0016 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0784 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1643 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 5 327 ₸with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 3 043 ₸
sells slowlypricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0032 (≈1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0784 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0788 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1650 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4860; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1650 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4821; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1738 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0026 (under 1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0783 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
sells slowlypricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.