Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 43 041.
Profitable25 289craftsof 34 723 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 34 723.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 9 657.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 12 599,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 613.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)
Best outcome
float up to 0.104999
Return after fees
1 088 ₽
Float
0.0700–0.0744 +2
Lots that fit
less than 1%
Sales per week
5
Ways to assemble
4
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1627 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1627 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (3% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (≈1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1650 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0752 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1683 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0763 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1683 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)
Best outcome
float up to 0.149999
Return after fees
918 ₽
Float
0.1500–0.1620 +3
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
23
Ways to assemble
5
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (5% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2550 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
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Steam
XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Factory New)
