Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 248.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 117.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 19 977,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 4 015.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1621 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1621 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Vendetta (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (under 1% of this wear's listings)