Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 47 054.
Profitable373craftsof 38 866 in the recalculation
Best profit—nothing profitable to assemble
Median ROI+3%half of the profitable crafts are above
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 38 866.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 49.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 19 948,
“profit only from resale” — 268,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 488.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
No profitable craft that can be assembled under these conditions: not enough market lots, or the profit rests on resale and no-deal prices. The full list is below.
Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1045 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0064 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1681 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1681 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2142 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1031 (under 1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (3% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0061 (≈2% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Mystic Conjunction (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0770 (0% of this wear's listings); Nova | Morning Sun (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0061 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0061 (≈2% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Base-2 (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0770 (0% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Black Site (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0061 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (0% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1032 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Monarch (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1035 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1661 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0756 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
124 547 ₸
Float
0.1500–0.1633 +2
Lots that fit
unknown
Sales per week
4
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3840; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1633 (0% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2575 (1% of this wear's listings)
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
99 530 ₸
Float
0.0000–0.0062 +2
Lots that fit
unknown
Sales per week
14
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3862; AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0770 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0062 (0% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 235 312 ₸with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
119 420 ₸
Float
0.0000–0.0045 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
7
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (0% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 277 998 ₸with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
141 541 ₸
Float
0.0000–0.0072 +2
Lots that fit
less than 1%
Sales per week
1
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1739 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0783 (3% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0072 (3% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 357 867 ₸with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
154 491 ₸
Float
0.0000–0.0041 +2
Lots that fit
less than 1%
Sales per week
1
Ways to assemble
3
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (8% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 655 340 ₸with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
281 499 ₸
Float
0.0000–0.0039 +1
Lots that fit
less than 1%
Sales per week
109
Ways to assemble
1
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (1% of this wear's listings)
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.