Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 635.
Profitable36 412craftsof 39 940 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 940.Shown in the list below: 200.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 190,
“profit only from resale” — 281.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (2% of this wear's listings); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AWP | PAW (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0081 (≈2% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0081 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (2% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (2% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1699 (4% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1699 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Gila (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0060 (1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1638 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1638 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1683 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Dark Operative (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1683 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Signal Scanner (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0763 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Souvenir XM1014 | Hieroglyph (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.