Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 47 555.
Profitable36 173craftsof 39 609 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 609.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 310.Hidden:“profit only from resale” — 261,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 556.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
201 $
Float
0.0000–0.0062 +2
Lots that fit
unknown
Sales per week
10
Ways to assemble
2
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3862; AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0770 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0062 (0% of this wear's listings)
P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1702 (3% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1737 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2530 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0817 (≈1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0021 (2% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1768 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1798 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Gila (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0021 (1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0724 (1% of this wear's listings)
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0749 (3% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (≈1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1818 (0% of this wear's listings)
sells slowlypricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
Nova | Koi (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (2% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3835; Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1676 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0797 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Downtown (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0053 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 6 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1786 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1786 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1591 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0819 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0729 (2% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0025 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 5 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1762 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0785 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0017 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1870 (6% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0777 (5% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0101 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2545 (1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0789 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0793 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0782 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0030 (4% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1796 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3851; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1669 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0758 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0051 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1762 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0789 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Downtown (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0017 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (4% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (3% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
sells slowlypricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 6 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 5 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.