Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 47 661.
Profitable35 835craftsof 39 487 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 487.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 7 407.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 961,
“profit only from resale” — 283,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 773.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1626 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (0% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (25% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1626 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2550 (1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (0% of this wear's listings); P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1638 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1640 (1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1640 (1% of this wear's listings)
USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0058 (≈2% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0766 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (0% of this wear's listings); P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (6% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested): buy 0.2100–0.2187 (3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P250 | Vino Primo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0054 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0762 (0% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Graphite (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (≈1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Powercore (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (51% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (2% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (1% of this wear's listings)
Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0058 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0766 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0058 (0% of this wear's listings)
Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0757 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1666 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Gila (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0050 (1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1674 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0760 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1674 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (2% of this wear's listings); AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1655 (under 1% of this wear's listings)