Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 005.
Profitable35 895craftsof 39 210 in the recalculation
Best profit—nothing profitable to assemble
Median ROI+19%half of the profitable crafts are above
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 210.Shown in the list below: 8 155.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 700,
“profit only from resale” — 274,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 441.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
No profitable craft that can be assembled under these conditions: not enough market lots, or the profit rests on resale and no-deal prices. The full list is below.
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0770 (0% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0061 (0% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0061 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
52 261 ₽
Float
0.0000–0.0039 +1
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
157
Ways to assemble
3
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (0% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (0% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0750 (0% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (0% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1644 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1639 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (0% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (0% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (0% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2550 (1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Koi (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0054 (3% of this wear's listings); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0762 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0054 (0% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0762 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (0% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (0% of this wear's listings); P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (4% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2550 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1660 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AWP | PAW (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0048 (3% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1660 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (1% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (6% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (0% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (0% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (0% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (0% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (0% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1642 (1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1030 (4% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Rock (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
43 265 ₽
Float
0.0000–0.0041 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
36
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1637 (0% of this wear's listings); P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1637 (0% of this wear's listings); Nova | Antique (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2557 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Sobek's Bite (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (2% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (6% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.