Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 505.
Profitable36 315craftsof 39 917 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 917.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 8 272.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 234,
“profit only from resale” — 258,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 652.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0733 (4% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0733 (2% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0784 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0116 (≈2% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3916; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1883 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3835; SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0789 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0033 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1735 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2132 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1702 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4985; UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1702 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0783 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0033 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0033 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1749 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (5% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (2% of this wear's listings); AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0802 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
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Steam
MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New)
