Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 38 866.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 10 886.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 19 948,
“profit only from resale” — 268,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 488.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Base-2 (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (0% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Storm (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1666 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0757 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Black Site (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3847
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1686 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Commando Company (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0764 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Commando Company (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1637 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Spectrogram (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1637 (under 1% of this wear's listings)