Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 47 661.
Profitable35 835craftsof 39 487 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 487.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 7 407.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 961,
“profit only from resale” — 283,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 773.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (0% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0765 (3% of this wear's listings)
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
19 500 ₽
Float
0.0000–0.0045 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
38
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (0% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (0% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Torque (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
49 806 ₽
Float
0.0000–0.0039 +1
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
77
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (0% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AWP | POP AWP (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0756 (6% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1661 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)
Best outcome
float up to 0.141176
Return after fees
6 303 ₽
Float
0.1500–0.1618 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
1
Ways to assemble
5
StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0759 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1671 (under 1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Guardian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0052 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (0% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (0% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (3% of this wear's listings)
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.