Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 41 767.
Profitable40craftsof 33 605 in the recalculation
Best profit—nothing profitable to assemble
Median ROI+2%half of the profitable crafts are above
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 33 605.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 26.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 13 166,
“profit only from resale” — 229,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 497.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
No profitable craft that can be assembled under these conditions: not enough market lots, or the profit rests on resale and no-deal prices. The full list is below.
Souvenir MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0563 (≈38% of this wear's listings); Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.1344 (≈56% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MP9 | Slide (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Sweeper (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Framework (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1615 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0752 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1650 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1627 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 30 779 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 16 952 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1716 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1716 (0% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 40 365 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 21 169 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
invest at least 52 574 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 27 927 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly40% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (5% of this wear's listings); AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 57 827 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 32 270 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1694 (under 1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0767 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0059 (2% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1676 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1676 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Antique (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0053 (7% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 69 921 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 40 387 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (3% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 80 335 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 45 810 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly40% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.