Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 38 904.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 618.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 19 199,
“profit only from resale” — 265,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 656.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.3412 (≈67% of this wear's listings); AUG | Signal Scanner (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.4381 (72% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
invest at least 147 $with floatassemble:float cannot be reached
float premium: at least 78 $
sells slowlyfloat cannot be reachedThere are enough listings, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be assembled with the wears from the calculation right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 7 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0764 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0764 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1683 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0763 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1683 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1683 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
sells slowlyfloat cannot be reachedThere are enough listings, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be assembled with the wears from the calculation right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 7 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
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Steam
AWP | Black Box (Field-Tested)
