Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 446.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 270.Hidden:“profit only from resale” — 256,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 633.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1684 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1684 (under 1% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1684 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP5-SD | Nitro (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1753 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1614 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0034 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1560 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Vendetta (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0784 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4951; Nova | Morning Sun (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3857; Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1688 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1520 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0785 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1602 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.5156; Nova | Morning Sun (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3883; Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1774 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1687 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1687 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1687 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Granite Marbleized (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1775 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1775 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1565 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0784 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2537 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Tire (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1821 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0782 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0025 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP7 | Astrolabe (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0780 (under 1% of this wear's listings)