Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 446.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 270.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 796,
“profit only from resale” — 256.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1566 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0784 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2051 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1528 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0782 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1685 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2073 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1593 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
USP-S | Desert Tactical (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1612 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1612 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0780 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0781 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1730 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0794 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0022 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Morning Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0893 (≈4% of this wear's listings)
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1573 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0783 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1592 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2057 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Morning Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0783 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0787 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0032 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Morning Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1732 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Half Sleeve (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1599 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2535 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1608 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1608 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0780 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1676 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2138 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1676 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0789 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0032 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1735 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.2000–0.2137 (under 1% of this wear's listings)