Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 41 031.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 273.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 22 478,
“profit only from resale” — 271,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 693.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1573 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0022 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1571 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1571 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1613 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Metallic DDPAT (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0034 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1655 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Commando Company (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0780 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Swamp DDPAT (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0781 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | O-Ranger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1592 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0781 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Mustard Gas (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1627 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1627 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0031 (≈1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0785 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Morning Sun (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4944; SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3856; Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1686 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1686 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1686 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP7 | Motherboard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1667 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1667 (under 1% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1667 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0781 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Mustard Gas (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1600 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1592 (under 1% of this wear's listings)