Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 34 723.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 9 614.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 12 599,
“profit only from resale” — 248,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 613.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (3% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1621 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
invest at least 3 033 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 1 688 ₽
outcome without salesmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
invest at least 5 392 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 3 136 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly63% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
invest at least 30 597 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 16 792 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly75% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (11% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1637 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1637 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
invest at least 4 444 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 2 511 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly48% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1650 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1029 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1637 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Contractor (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
outcome without salesmarketplace pricePrice from CSFloat / Market.CSGO listings: at least 3 listings, checked against the second marketplace or the neighbouring wear. It sells there, and the money is real.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly63% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly75% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
marketplace pricesells slowly48% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.