Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 34 723.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 9 614.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 12 599,
“profit only from resale” — 248,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 613.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Nova | Mandrel (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1638 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1662 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1662 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0049 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
PP-Bizon | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0800–0.0840 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
MP9 | Slide (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Sweeper (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
MP9 | Slide (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Sweeper (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0042 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Currents (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1643 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 3 135 ₽with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 1 779 ₽
marketplace pricesells slowly33% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Dual Berettas | Silver Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Currents (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1627 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1621 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1621 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MAC-10 | Palm (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Black Site (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
marketplace pricesells slowly33% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.