Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 773.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 470.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 395,
“profit only from resale” — 266,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 646.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (5% of this wear's listings); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4822; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1633 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (3% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1633 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1640 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1640 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Flash Out (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1644 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0750 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (2% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (0% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (2% of this wear's listings)
PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0889 (≈4% of this wear's listings); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.2043 (≈5% of this wear's listings)
PP-Bizon | Bizoom (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0919 (≈6% of this wear's listings); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.2132 (≈5% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (5% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (2% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1626 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (2% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1638 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1638 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1627 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (5% of this wear's listings); Nova | Exo (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (3% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (4% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (5% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (2% of this wear's listings); Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (5% of this wear's listings); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings)