Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 46 914.
Profitable165craftsof 38 904 in the recalculation
Best profit—nothing profitable to assemble
Median ROI+3%half of the profitable crafts are above
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 38 904.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 94.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 19 199,
“profit only from resale” — 265,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 656.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
No profitable craft that can be assembled under these conditions: not enough market lots, or the profit rests on resale and no-deal prices. The full list is below.
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1680 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0054 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Predator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1680 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1680 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0054 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir XM1014 | Urban Perforated (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1680 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Silver (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0061 (≈2% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Base-2 (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0770 (0% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Black Site (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0061 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1680 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0054 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1680 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (0% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1031 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0749 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1038 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0761 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0054 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1037 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0759 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 20 $with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 11 $
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1039 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0763 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0055 (6% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0763 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1039 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1044 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0771 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1035 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0050 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (0% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1032 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1035 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1661 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0756 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1034 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 386 $with floatassemble:float cannot be reached
float premium: at least 211 $
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float cannot be reachedThere are enough listings, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be assembled with the wears from the calculation right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
270 $
Float
0.1500–0.1633 +2
Lots that fit
unknown
Sales per week
7
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3840; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1633 (0% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2575 (1% of this wear's listings)
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear)
Best outcome
float up to 0.087499
Return after fees
214 $
Float
0.1500–0.1677 +1
Lots that fit
unknown
Sales per week
7
Ways to assemble
2
Souvenir AK-47 | Panthera onca (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3854; XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1677 (0% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 468 $with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 259 $
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
252 $
Float
0.0000–0.0045 +2
Lots that fit
less than 1%
Sales per week
14
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (2% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 1 459 $with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 812 $
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
619 $
Float
0.0000–0.0039 +1
Lots that fit
less than 1%
Sales per week
115
Ways to assemble
1
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (1% of this wear's listings)
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float cannot be reachedThere are enough listings, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be assembled with the wears from the calculation right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.