Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 38 904.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 677.Hidden:“profit only from resale” — 265,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 656.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.1388 (83% of this wear's listings); AUG | Signal Scanner (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.4402 (77% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.7633 (100% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.9423 (90% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.4426 (77% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.3589 (95% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.3589 (88% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2559 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Negev | Lionfish (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1636 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Negev | Lionfish (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0043 (1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1641 (0% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1641 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0046 (2% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1651 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (0% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (0% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0048 (2% of this wear's listings); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings)