Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 47 054.
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Steam
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred)
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Steam
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred)
→
Steam
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred)
→
Steam
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred)
→
Steam
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)
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Steam
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)
→
Steam
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn)
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Steam
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0764 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
| Collection · assemble | Invest | Returns | Profit | ROI | Chance of profit | Buy float | Input | Steps | Ways | Liquidity sales / week |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
rare inputs
easy
лотов на ≥25 контрактов
|
27 584.83 | 28 290.48 | +705.63 | +2.6% | 90% |
any lot
|
Classified
→ float up to 0.715400 |
1 | 5 | 19 | |
|
|
27 692.37 | 28 290.48 | +633.85 | +2.3% | 90% |
any lot
|
Classified
→float up to 0.604800 |
1 | 5 | 71 | |
|
The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
rare inputs
easy
лотов на ≥12 контрактов
|
28 612.03 | 28 849.74 | +274.04 | +1.0% | 90% |
any lot
|
Classified
→float up to 0.604800 |
1 | 3 | 11 | |
|
The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Dreams & Nightmares Collection
rare inputs
easy
лотов на ≥12 контрактов
|
28 786.94 | 28 714.33 | +62.77 | +0.2% | 90% |
any lot
|
Classified
→float up to 0.692800 |
1 | 3 | 9 | |
|
The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Kilowatt Collection
sells slowly
rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
easy
лотов на ≥24 контрактов
|
3 451.75 | 3 528.50 | +17.09 | +0.5% | 33% |
any lot
|
Restricted
→ float up to 0.402000 |
1 | 4 | 14 | |
|
|
2 812.91 | 2 690.81 | −276.86 | −9.8% | 33% |
any lot
|
Restricted
→float up to 0.336000 |
1 | 1 | 4 | |
|
The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Prisma 2 Collection
sells slowly
rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
easy
лотов на ≥16 контрактов
|
3 657.48 | 3 679.00 | −557.24 | −15.2% | 33% |
any lot
|
Restricted
→ float up to 0.435500 |
1 | 5 | 14 | |
|
The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Vanguard Collection
marketplace price
sells slowly 85% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.
float cannot be reached There are enough listings, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be assembled with the wears from the calculation right now.
rare inputs The rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
profitable even in a bad week
hard
|
— | 227 271.34 | — | — | 50% |
≤ 0.0056+1
|
Classified
→ float up to 0.069999 |
1 | 5 | 0 |