Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 773.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 652.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 395,
“profit only from resale” — 266,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 646.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
invest at least 11 703 ₴with floatassemble:float cannot be reached
float premium: at least 6 799 ₴
sale unreliablesells slowly95% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float cannot be reachedThere are enough listings, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be assembled with the wears from the calculation right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
9 329 ₴
Float
0.1500–0.1684 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
1
Ways to assemble
5
StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1684 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3856 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1684 (0% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (3% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 7 151 ₴with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 4 094 ₴
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Stymphalian (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3874 (16% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.5088
AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1643 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1643 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4842
Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0044 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0750 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Amberline (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0044 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0761 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0053 (0% of this wear's listings); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1675 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1684 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0764 (5% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
sale unreliablesells slowly95% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.float cannot be reachedThere are enough listings, but the needed float can't be reached with them: the craft can't be assembled with the wears from the calculation right now.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 2 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.