Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 46 680.
Profitable35 324craftsof 38 765 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 38 765.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 505.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 524,
“profit only from resale” — 259,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 556.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0766 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0058 (≈2% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Dark Operative (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1692 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1635 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0783 (0% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0766 (under 1% of this wear's listings); CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0766 (under 1% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0058 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1792 (≈1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1792 (≈1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0801 (0% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1646 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0750 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0750 (under 1% of this wear's listings)