Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 505.
Profitable36 315craftsof 39 917 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 917.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 540.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 234,
“profit only from resale” — 258,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 652.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0749 (0% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1643 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0749 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1687 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0765 (0% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1687 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1773 (≈1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1773 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0765 (0% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0765 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1655 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1655 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0753 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (0% of this wear's listings); Nova | Yorkshire (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1638 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0748 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (0% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1632 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4817 (2% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3840 (1% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1634 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1633 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1644 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0750 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0044 (100% of this wear's listings)