Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 34 215.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 462.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 13 732,
“profit only from resale” — 236,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 613.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.1213 (≈25% of this wear's listings); Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0449 (≈11% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0568 (32% of this wear's listings); Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0568 (≈40% of this wear's listings)
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1786 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1786 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1781 (≈1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1781 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1795 (≈1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1871 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
FAMAS | Snake Song (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.5307 (11% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1837 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1756 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1612 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1734 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4885; Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1661 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1661 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1671 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4885; Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1661 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1661 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)
Best outcome
float up to 0.265999
Return after fees
306 ₴
Float
0.1500–0.1614 +1
Lots that fit
2%
Sales per week
186
Ways to assemble
2
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1614 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4772 (5% of this wear's listings)
USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1645 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0794 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0044 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 792 ₴with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 443 ₴
rare inputs
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)
Best outcome
float up to 0.265999
Return after fees
352 ₴
Float
0.1500–0.1742 +2
Lots that fit
less than 1%
Sales per week
68
Ways to assemble
2
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4750 (5% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1742 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1885 (≈3% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.2148 (≈5% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.6050 (33% of this wear's listings)
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)
Best outcome
float up to 0.379999
Return after fees
325 ₴
Float
0.1500–0.2029 +1
Lots that fit
≈4%
Sales per week
74
Ways to assemble
2
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.2029 (≈4% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.5765 (25% of this wear's listings)