Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 42 935.
Profitable24 898craftsof 34 215 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 34 215.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 462.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 13 732,
“profit only from resale” — 236,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 613.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1642 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1642 (under 1% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1642 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)
Best outcome
float up to 0.164062
Return after fees
7 $
Float
0.1500–0.1635 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
22
Ways to assemble
5
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1635 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3841 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1635 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)
Best outcome
float up to 0.314999
Return after fees
8 $
Float
0.1500–0.1633 +1
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
13
Ways to assemble
1
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1633 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4818 (5% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1654 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4868 (5% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3846 (0% of this wear's listings)
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)
Best outcome
float up to 0.073134
Return after fees
14 $
Float
0.0700–0.0761 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
41
Ways to assemble
5
StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1678 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0761 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0761 (0% of this wear's listings)
→SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)
Best outcome
float up to 0.254545
Return after fees
8 $
Float
0.1500–0.1636 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
18
Ways to assemble
1
StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4825 (5% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1636 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3841 (0% of this wear's listings)
Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0753 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0753 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0047 (14% of this wear's listings)