Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 38 864.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 399.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 19 615,
“profit only from resale” — 267,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 517.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (≈1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1631 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Wurst Hölle (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1631 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A4 | Dark Operative (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4778; AUG | Signal Scanner (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3835 (0% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 13 $with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 12 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1655 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (≈1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 12 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.