Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 773.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 667.Hidden:“profit only from resale” — 266,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 646.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.1388 (≈67% of this wear's listings); AUG | Signal Scanner (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.4402 (77% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1688 (0% of this wear's listings); M249 | Downtown (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0057 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (2% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
M249 | Downtown (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (0% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1651 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0046 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0768 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0768 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0059 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1646 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1646 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
FAMAS | Crypsis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0768 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0768 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0059 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
→
Steam
StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)
