Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 141.
Profitable36 241craftsof 39 773 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 773.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 10 754.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 20 395,
“profit only from resale” — 266.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (0% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0783 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Lionfish (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0073 (3% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Tatter (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0783 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0758 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0758 (4% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0051 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1033 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly95% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0801 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0088 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1790 (2% of this wear's listings)
USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0753 (4% of this wear's listings); USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0046 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1652 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0768 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0060 (≈2% of this wear's listings); Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1697 (0% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1620 (0% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (0% of this wear's listings); P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (0% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (2% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MP5-SD | Agent (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1626 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly95% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.