Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 41 767.
Profitable24 496craftsof 33 605 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 33 605.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 8 564.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 13 166,
“profit only from resale” — 229.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1640 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0749 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1640 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0754 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1656 (2% of this wear's listings)
USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1621 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Supernova (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1633 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0749 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1640 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0749 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2553 (1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1625 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P250 | Supernova (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Control (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0773 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0064 (≈2% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1710 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0767 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0059 (≈2% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1695 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0037 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0052 (≈1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1671 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0762 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0054 (3% of this wear's listings); Souvenir P250 | Black & Tan (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1678 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly97% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0772 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Lionfish (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0063 (≈2% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1708 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
marketplace pricesells slowly97% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.