Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 41 158.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 041.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 530,
“profit only from resale” — 284.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0024 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1585 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1653 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1647 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3844; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1647 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0032 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0797 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1647 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3844; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1647 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4796; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (4% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1749 (under 1% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0798 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1621 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4790; UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3836
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
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Steam
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear)
