Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 505.
Profitable36 315craftsof 39 917 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 917.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 613.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 234,
“profit only from resale” — 258,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 652.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1774 (≈1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2553 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0752 (3% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (5% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1611 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0787 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0033 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0734 (2% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0030 (2% of this wear's listings); Nova | Plume (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1778 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0744 (3% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (4% of this wear's listings); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0812 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0812 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings); FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1633 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (5% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (2% of this wear's listings); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0782 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2539 (1% of this wear's listings); Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1776 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0738 (2% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0033 (3% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1738 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1785 (≈1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0801 (under 1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0017 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1740 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0814 (≈1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0756 (4% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0049 (5% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0815 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0793 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0845 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (3% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0041 (4% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1785 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0760 (4% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0053 (6% of this wear's listings); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0796 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0800 (0% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0818 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0022 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.