Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 917.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 613.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 234,
“profit only from resale” — 258,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 652.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0818 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0032 (≈1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0803 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0804 (≈1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0033 (≈1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0796 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1878 (≈2% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1800 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
invest at least 15 $with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
float premium: at least 9 $
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
UMP-45 | Full Stop (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1752 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0807 (≈1% of this wear's listings); M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0057 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2542 (1% of this wear's listings); R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1649 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested): buy 0.2100–0.2257 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0818 (≈1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0793 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0026 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0738 (2% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0033 (3% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1738 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1811 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1793 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1753 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MAG-7 | Praetorian (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1778 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0758 (4% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0050 (5% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1837 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2543 (1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0797 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0030 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2514 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1838 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2553 (1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1611 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0787 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0033 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.