Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 40 021.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 003.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 085,
“profit only from resale” — 268,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 695.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1752 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0786 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0023 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4818; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0746 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (4% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0027 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1718 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0799 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0739 (2% of this wear's listings); P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0034 (3% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1614 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0789 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3839; SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P250 | Red Tide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1629 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1687 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0792 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4852; FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1647 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (6% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0745 (3% of this wear's listings); Nova | Exo (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0040 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0015 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P90 | Off World (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0812 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1765 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0787 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0014 (under 1% of this wear's listings); PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1794 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1580 (under 1% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0792 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0013 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
rare inputspricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.