Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 505.
Profitable36 315craftsof 39 917 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 917.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 11 272.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 234,
“profit only from resale” — 258,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 652.
A craft can carry several labels.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
Purchase at the cheapest listing of the wear — in practice it will cost more: listings with the needed float are pricier, and the profit below will be smaller or turn into a loss. Count by float
R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1606 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0031 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1880 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1829 (≈2% of this wear's listings); MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1829 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (5% of this wear's listings); AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (2% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0803 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3836; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0818 (≈1% of this wear's listings); MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1639 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Tec-9 | Brother (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0806 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0735 (3% of this wear's listings); MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0030 (≈1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0792 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.5151; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1772 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0823 (2% of this wear's listings); P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0823 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1752 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0010 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Souvenir G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1880 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Galil AR | Black Sand (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3835; Galil AR | Black Sand (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1616 (under 1% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
→
Steam
Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New)
