Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
Crafts calculated in total: 48 635.
Profitable36 412craftsof 39 940 in the recalculation
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 39 940.Shown in the list below: 8 328.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 21 190,
“profit only from resale” — 281,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 654.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0060 (0% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1698 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1720 (2% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0776 (1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0067 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
281 684 ₸
Float
0.0000–0.0039 +1
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
108
Ways to assemble
5
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1630 (0% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0039 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); MP9 | Airlock (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0036 (4% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamStatTrak™ Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.034374
Return after fees
42 398 ₸
Float
0.1500–0.1618 +1
Lots that fit
less than 1%
Sales per week
1
Ways to assemble
5
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P250 | Red Rock (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 5 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0742 (0% of this wear's listings); G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1623 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1618 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (0% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0765 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
Souvenir Five-SeveN | Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0747 (under 1% of this wear's listings); SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1635 (0% of this wear's listings); SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1635 (0% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1624 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2554 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1615 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0035 (5% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear): buy 0.1000–0.1025 (4% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2550 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1617 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0740 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1646 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1646 (3% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0046 (≈1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2566 (6% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2552 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
115 950 ₸
Float
0.0000–0.0045 +2
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
18
Ways to assemble
4
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1648 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0751 (0% of this wear's listings); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricerare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
→SteamM4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)
Best outcome
float up to 0.069999
Return after fees
287 642 ₸
Float
0.0000–0.0048 +1
Lots that fit
0%
Sales per week
29
Ways to assemble
5
Souvenir P90 | Run and Hide (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1659 (0% of this wear's listings); AWP | Duality (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0048 (2% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1622 (3% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3837 (7% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2551 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2555 (2% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1628 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
StatTrak™ Nova | Graphite (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0045 (≈1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): buy 0.2500–0.2565 (4% of this wear's listings)
Stays in profit even if the week before the sale turns out bad: only one week in ten is worse.
sells slowlyrare inputsThe rarest input sells 5 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.pricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly45% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 0 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.
marketplace pricesells slowly90% of the probability falls on outcomes that sell fewer than 21 times a week (3 a day): at the lowest price they won't be bought right away.rare inputsThe rarest input sells 1 times a day. Buying them up will take long, and the price will change meanwhile.