Here crafts are calculated at Steam prices: with fees, over all possible outcomes and with the needed float for every input.
Craft — ten items of one rarity are exchanged for one item of the next rarity from the same collections. Which one drops is decided by chance, but the odds and the float of the outcome are computed exactly.
Invest — how much the inputs cost at the cheapest lots. Returns — the average over all outcomes after the Steam 15% fee. Profit — their difference, on average over many crafts. Chance of profit — the share of outcomes that pay for the input on their own.
Buy float — the strictest wear requirement among the inputs: lots with a float above this number don’t fit. “Any lot” — no need to choose.
Before buying, open the craft and press «Check floats on Steam»: the site will look at real listings and recalculate the profit.
The summary covers all crafts of the recalculation, risk-labelled ones included: 38 864.Of them the site shows the best: 15 000.Shown in the list below: 425.Hidden:“profit on prices without sales” — 19 615,
“profit only from resale” — 267,
“outcome above the Steam cap” — 3 517.
A craft can carry several labels.Your own conditions apply too.
Craft ROI all crafts of the recalculation: how many in each band
invest at least 21 $with floatassemble: ≈ won't work
sells slowlypricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.
Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0760 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0052 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Well-Worn): buy 0.3800–0.3847; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1655 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0764 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Negev | Lionfish (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0056 (2% of this wear's listings)
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1619 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0741 (under 1% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Battle-Scarred): buy 0.4500–0.4735 (16% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1771 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0768 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0059 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0768 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0060 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested): buy 0.1500–0.1674 (under 1% of this wear's listings); StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0760 (0% of this wear's listings)
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0743 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Rain Station (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0038 (≈1% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0773 (under 1% of this wear's listings); XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0064 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear): buy 0.0700–0.0770 (under 1% of this wear's listings); Nova | Ocular (Factory New): buy 0.0000–0.0062 (≈2% of this wear's listings)
sells slowlypricier variants existThe price depends on the pattern (phase, design) and float, some copies cost more. The calculation uses the usual price.