Crafts · The Ancient Collection
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The Ancient Collection

Restricted → Classified About the craft Craft 1703478 · ways to build: 1 The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. +8 844.19₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the right wear, float not counted. The real purchase — after «Check floats on Steam». 26 856.63₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 35 700.82₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. +32.9%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 50%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 66 770.27₽ · profit at most −31 069.45₽ (at most -46.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

An estimate from the market at the time of the measurement: cheap lots with the needed float may have been bought out or relisted — this is a check, not a forecast. “Check floats on Steam” shows the real price now.

The float limit is tighter than the markup table — less than 30% of the wear window fits. The purchase will cost at least the shown number of times more; how much more — no data, so the investment is “at least” and the profit is “at most”.
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) × 3 14% of the wear window fits at least ×2.26 5910.81 → 13358.43 ₽
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) × 7 14% of the wear window fits at least ×2.55 20945.82 → 53411.84 ₽

Markup — analysis table from lot books 25–26.09.2026: how many times the N cheapest lots with the needed float cost more than the cheapest lot of the wear; it depends on what share of the wear window fits and on the number of pieces.

Check:
⋯ More
To calculator I have items
profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 857 ₽ Which itemsIf these items are never sold, the profit is at least −26 857 ₽: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New), P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)

Craft variants Craft variants The same collection at other rarity steps: which grade turns into which here. Numbers come from the same recount as the list. A variant at a loss is shown only if the loss is no more than 15% of the investment, the most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee, and its price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one Restricted → Classified
+8 844.19 ₽ +32.9% chance of profit 50%
expensive: AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) · 45 314.68 ₽ · chance 50%
profit on prices without salesat least −26 857 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 3× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Minimal Wear) buy 0.0700–0.0815
  • 7× Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) buy 0.0000–0.0100
Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted
+857.71 ₽ +23.2% chance of profit 67%
expensive: MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Factory New) · 6 257.80 ₽ · chance 33%
profit on prices without salesat least −3 694 ₽ rare inputs The rarest input sells 1 times a day: slow to buy up, the price will move while you buy.
  • 2× Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Field-Tested) buy 0.1500–0.1606
  • 8× Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) buy 0.1000–0.1048

How to build Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then the most accessible. A tab makes the way current — the tiles and outcomes are recalculated for it.

14% of lots fit ≈ enough for 0 contracts · hard (estimate)

Price understated: only 14% of lots fit, and a rare float costs more than a regular one. The database has the item's average price, without float — the real purchase will cost more.

×3
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Minimal Wear
buy 0.0700–0.0815
5 910.81 ₽
at 1 970.27
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.081506f′ (normalized) 0.181126wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 22 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×7
Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0100
20 945.82 ₽
at 2 992.26
souvenirSteam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010068f′ (normalized) 0.022374wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 29 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 10 pcs 26 856.63 ₽ +8 844.19 (+32.9%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.069999900 all outcomes come out at 0.070000 «No higher than» is a guarantee: take every position at the upper limit — you get exactly what is shown.

What you get 2 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 50%
  • Losing outcome 0%
  • About break-even 50%
in profit
best
AK-47 | Panthera onca
Factory New
52 111.88 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New)net 45314.68 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 40 783.59 ₽ (you get 35 463.99)) · buy orders: 651 sell on Market.CSGO: 31 007.99 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 33 999.99 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 26 738.18 ₽ listings: 58 on Lis-Skins: from 27 365.20 ₽ listings: 70
about break-even
worst
P90 | Run and Hide
Factory New
30 000.00 ₽ 50.00%
price without deals
Steam P90 | Run and Hide (Factory New)net 26086.96 you get 0.070000
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 225.18 ₽ (you get 16 717.54)) · buy orders: 706 sell on Market.CSGO: 18 620.37 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 20 417.08 · lots 7 on CSFloat: from 15 332.80 ₽ listings: 18 on CS.Money: ~ 16 526.88 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 15 037.28 ₽ listings: 48
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